The Record
USPSA A151877 · AZ

Justin Alvarez

CityMesa
StateArizona
CountryUnited States
Jun 11, 2023 – Sep 25, 2026
Carry OpticsBLimited OpticsU

Rankings last 12 months

Carry Optics · Record Rating 86.5 ±2.6 · avg 80.8% · 13 qualifying
State
#47 of 305
Arizona
Regional
#185 of 1,482
USPSA Area 2
National
#952 of 7,096
United States
International
n/a
no matches abroad

Record Rating in detail why the number is what it is

Carry Optics #952 of 7,105 worldwide

Stage skill
87.1
hit factor as a percent of the pace that wins an average Carry Optics field, fitted from 140 stage results since Oct 10, 2024
Blow-up deduction
−0.6
1 zeroed stage, a rate of 0.7% after a light pull toward the division; a zeroed stage scores nothing, so the skill is cut by that share
Record Rating
86.5 ±2.6
interval 81.5 to 91.8 at two deviations; personal stage noise 10.3% per stage; US level known to ±0.5%
Ordered by
83.9
rating less one deviation; a short record must be exceptional to outrank a long one
Avg % rank
#1,643
where a plain average of match percent (80.8%) would place them
Class rank
#2,217
USPSA class order (B), ties by avg %

Every match in the fit, oldest first. Percent is the raw percent of the division winner. Versus stages is how far the day's hit factors ran above or below the measured difficulty of the stages, averaged; best and worst are the single stages. Flagged stages fell more than two personal deviations from expectation and were given reduced weight. Skill is the fitted skill at that match on the random-walk path; the last value, before the blow-up deduction, is the stage skill above.

DateMatchFieldStagesPercentVs stagesBest / worstFlaggedSkill
Oct 13, 2024Rio Salado UPPL October 202442584.2+6.9%+13 / +1094.3
Oct 20, 2024Rio Salado RmapUSPSA Oct 20,202430485.7+5.5%+32 / -10193.6
Oct 26, 2024Rio Salado Hosemasters October 202438470.4-10.9%-9 / -14093.0
Nov 6, 20242024 Desert Classic Area 2 Championship brought to you by IWI US (Rio Salado)1481671.0-0.1%+13 / -191 + 1 zero93.0
Jan 18, 2025Rio Salado RSPP January 2025 USPSA43544.7-7.3%+2 / -26191.5
Jan 27, 20252025-01-27 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club21480.7+7.4%+11 / +5091.8
Feb 6, 2025Rio Salado Dirtbaggers February 202523495.5+3.7%+19 / -6091.3
Mar 22, 2025Rio Salado Hosemasters March 202529346.3-22.1%-2 / -41188.1
Apr 3, 2025Rio Salado Dirtbaggers April 202535485.4+3.0%+10 / -9088.0
May 11, 2025Rio Salado UPPL May 202532566.4-8.5%+18 / -34186.4
Aug 23, 2025Rio Salado Hosemasters August 202535564.3-12.3%+14 / -54184.9
Nov 5, 2025IWI 2025 Desert Classic Area 2 Championship Presented by Laugo Arms and BELT1721663.5-1.7%+19 / -23183.3
Mar 30, 2026Scottsdale Gun Club USPSA Level 1 Match March 202621488.1-4.6%+8 / -22183.5
Apr 2, 2026Rio Salado Dirtbaggers April 202631480.3-4.7%+7 / -11083.6
Apr 4, 20262026-04-04 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club45578.3+2.8%+9 / -8083.7
Apr 12, 2026Rio Salado UPPL April 202636586.3-0.7%+10 / -20183.9
Apr 19, 2026Rio Salado RMAP April 2026 Saturday Night OR Sunday Match26483.3+0.4%+13 / -11084.0
May 16, 2026Rio Salado RSPP May 202628487.1+0.2%+11 / -10084.1
May 23, 2026Rio Salado Hosemasters May 202643578.2-12.1%+12 / -46184.1
Jun 20, 2026Rio Salado RSPP June 202642569.1-7.2%+15 / -27284.8
Aug 22, 2026Rio Salado Hosemasters August 202652480.6+0.9%+9 / -7086.7
Sep 3, 2026Rio Salado Dirtbaggers September 202628483.9-4.4%+2 / -16086.9
Sep 6, 2026Cactus USPSA September 6 202631684.0+3.4%+7 / -3087.1
Sep 25, 20262026 SUPS Nationals RELOADED!461685.8-0.7%+11 / -21187.1

How Record Rating works explains each step.

Matches
81
Division wins
0
Podiums
0
Avg % of winner
69.2
Majors
4
Form, last 15

Career percent of the division winner, every match

Hover a match for detail, click to open it. Larger dots are larger fields; gold is a division win. Line is the trailing eight-match average.

Best finishes fields of 10 or more

Head to head same division, 3+ meetings

Match history

  1. Sep 25, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    13of 46
    85.8
  2. Sep 6, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    4of 31
    84.0
  3. Sep 3, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    10of 29
    83.9
  4. Aug 22, 2026
    Carry Optics X
    13of 52
    80.6
  5. Jun 20, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    23of 44
    69.1
  6. May 23, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    15of 44
    78.2
  7. May 16, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    7of 28
    87.1
  8. Apr 19, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    7of 26
    83.3
  9. Apr 12, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    6of 36
    86.3
  10. Apr 4, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    11of 46
    78.3
  11. Apr 2, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    8of 32
    80.3
  12. Mar 30, 2026
    Carry Optics B
    5of 22
    88.1
  13. Nov 5, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    112of 176
    63.5
  14. Aug 23, 2025
    Carry Optics X
    26of 35
    64.3
  15. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics U
    16of 23
    70.5
  16. May 11, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    23of 32
    66.4
  17. Apr 3, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    9of 35
    85.4
  18. Mar 22, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    25of 30
    46.3
  19. Feb 6, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    4of 23
    95.5
  20. Jan 27, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    5of 21
    80.7
  21. Jan 18, 2025
    Carry Optics B
    30of 43
    44.7
  22. Nov 6, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    82of 151
    71.0
  23. Oct 26, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    23of 38
    70.4
  24. Oct 20, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    9of 30
    85.7
  25. Oct 19, 2024
    Limited Optics U
    5of 8
    78.4
  26. Oct 13, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    10of 42
    84.2
  27. Oct 5, 2024
    2024-10-04 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    18of 41
    65.4
  28. Oct 5, 2024
    2024-10-04 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Limited Optics U
    9of 34
    79.0
  29. Sep 27, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    59of 109
    69.8
  30. Sep 21, 2024
    Rio Salado RSPP September 2024
    Rio Salado Practical Pistol · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    10of 37
    79.8
  31. Sep 21, 2024
    Rio Salado RSPP September 2024
    Rio Salado Practical Pistol · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    11of 37
    73.0
  32. Sep 15, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    24of 40
    53.2
  33. Sep 1, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    4of 35
    84.4
  34. Aug 26, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    6of 17
    81.8
  35. Aug 24, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    22of 45
    75.8
  36. Aug 17, 2024
    Carry Optics
    6of 16
    62.9
  37. Jul 20, 2024
    Carry Optics U
    23of 43
    59.8
  38. Jun 15, 2024
    Carry Optics X
    10of 30
    69.6
  39. Jun 9, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    16of 41
    65.6
  40. Apr 29, 2024
    2024-04-29 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    11of 17
    59.3
  41. Apr 6, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    9of 32
    93.5
  42. Mar 30, 2024
    Production Optics
    19of 49
    72.3
  43. Feb 17, 2024
    Rio Salado RSPP February 2024 USPSA Match
    Rio Salado Practical Pistol · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    17of 30
    66.0
  44. Feb 11, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    15of 38
    73.1
  45. Jan 28, 2024
    2024-01-28 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    5of 15
    72.9
  46. Jan 14, 2024
    Carry Optics B
    21of 37
    57.0
  47. Dec 16, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    20of 42
    62.6
  48. Nov 18, 2023
    Rio Salado RSPP "Left Out of Left Out" November 2023 USPSA Match
    Rio Salado Sportsman's Club Steel Challenge · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    5of 12
    91.5
  49. Nov 17, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    4of 18
    79.5
  50. Nov 8, 2023
    2023 Desert Classic Area 2 Championship
    Rio Salado Practical Pistol · AZ · Level III
    Carry Optics B
    84of 143
    64.7
  51. Nov 4, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    9of 43
    87.4
  52. Nov 3, 2023
    Payson USPSA November 4 2023
    Tonto Rim Sports Club
    Carry Optics B
    5of 12
    74.8
  53. Oct 28, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    29of 43
    57.8
  54. Oct 28, 2023
    Limited Optics U
    7of 23
    78.4
  55. Oct 19, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    26of 51
    71.7
  56. Oct 8, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    16of 36
    72.2
  57. Oct 7, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    19of 53
    72.3
  58. Oct 7, 2023
    Payson USPSA October 7 2023
    Tonto Rim Sports Club
    Carry Optics B
    5of 14
    72.2
  59. Oct 5, 2023
    Rio Salado Dirtbaggers October 2023
    Hosemasters Practical Pistol · AZ
    Carry Optics B
    8of 34
    78.8
  60. Oct 1, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    14of 32
    71.6
  61. Sep 24, 2023
    2023-09-24 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Carry Optics C
    5of 25
    84.6
  62. Sep 23, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    15of 28
    71.8
  63. Sep 16, 2023
    Carry Optics B
    21of 34
    60.8
  64. Sep 14, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    51of 94
    73.4
  65. Sep 10, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    23of 39
    64.8
  66. Aug 27, 2023
    2023-08-27 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Carry Optics C
    8of 14
    76.3
  67. Aug 26, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    16of 36
    66.6
  68. Aug 19, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    24of 31
    57.6
  69. Aug 13, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    24of 39
    58.4
  70. Aug 5, 2023
    2023-August Friday/Saturday USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ · Level NV
    Carry Optics C
    30of 48
    65.7
  71. Jul 30, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    25of 29
    54.4
  72. Jul 22, 2023
    Carry Optics C
    24of 33
    50.5
  73. Jul 16, 2023
    Carry Optics U
    28of 30
    44.1
  74. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics U
    13of 19
    59.3
  75. Jul 9, 2023
    Carry Optics U
    31of 45
    54.3
  76. Jul 1, 2023
    2023-07-01 USPSA at Phoenix Rod and Gun Club
    Phoenix Rod And Gun Club · AZ
    Carry Optics U
    22of 30
    55.5
  77. Jun 24, 2023
    Rio Salado Hosemasters June 2023
    Hosemasters Practical Pistol · AZ
    Carry Optics U
    34of 38
    34.3
  78. Jun 18, 2023
    Carry Optics U
    28of 36
    30.8
  79. Jun 18, 2023
    Carry Optics U
    29of 36
    25.7
  80. Jun 17, 2023
    Carry Optics U
    41of 50
    44.9
  81. Jun 11, 2023
    Rio Salado UPPL June 2023
    Rio Salado Practical Pistol · AZ
    Carry Optics U
    47of 50
    26.5

Classifier history 56 runs

  1. DateClassifierDivisionHit factorTimeHits
  2. Sep 6, 2026
    Carry Optics
    6.41
    16.85s
    18A6C
  3. May 23, 2026
    Carry Optics
    3.20
    11.89s
    7A1C
  4. Apr 12, 2026
    Carry Optics
    6.60
    4.09s
    4A2C1D
  5. Mar 30, 2026
    Carry Optics
    5.27
    9.30s
    12A3C1M1NS
  6. Aug 23, 2025
    Carry Optics
    8.47
    8.26s
    11A5C
  7. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics
    6.29
    9.85s
    8A7C1D
  8. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics
    0.81
    7.41s
    4A8C2D4M
  9. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics
    7.32
    10.93s
    13A5C
  10. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics
    7.04
    8.81s
    8A7C1D
  11. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics
    7.77
    3.09s
    4A1C1D
  12. Jul 3, 2025
    Limited Optics
    3.46
    15.60s
    9A6C1D1NS
  13. May 11, 2025
    Carry Optics
    6.14
    5.21s
    5A2C1D
  14. Oct 26, 2024
    Carry Optics
    5.95
    11.77s
    10A6C2D
  15. Oct 20, 2024
    Carry Optics
    3.60
    20.81s
    10A11C2D1M
  16. Oct 13, 2024
    Carry Optics
    6.55
    7.63s
    10A0C
  17. Oct 5, 2024
    Carry Optics
    5.53
    7.23s
    4A6C2D
  18. Oct 5, 2024
    Limited Optics
    4.36
    8.02s
    7A3C1D1M
  19. Sep 15, 2024
    Carry Optics
    0.00
    23.05s
    7A5C4D8M
  20. Sep 1, 2024
    Carry Optics
    5.31
    10.17s
    9A3C
  21. Aug 17, 2024
    Carry Optics
    8.91
    6.06s
    10A1C1D
  22. Jul 20, 2024
    Carry Optics
    2.16
    13.40s
    10A3C3M
  23. Jun 9, 2024
    Carry Optics
    7.82
    3.58s
    5A1C
  24. Mar 30, 2024
    Production Optics
    2.33
    38.59s
    23A5C4M
  25. Feb 17, 2024
    Carry Optics
    4.84
    7.03s
    5A3C
  26. Feb 11, 2024
    Carry Optics
    5.00
    5.80s
    4A3C
  27. Jan 14, 2024
    Carry Optics
    6.36
    9.12s
    11A1C
  28. Dec 16, 2023
    Carry Optics
    3.12
    8.00s
    6A5C1M1NS
  29. Nov 18, 2023
    Carry Optics
    9.06
    3.09s
    5A1C
  30. Nov 17, 2023
    Carry Optics
    7.13
    7.57s
    9A3C
  31. Nov 4, 2023
    Carry Optics
    5.94
    17.86s
    19A3C2D
  32. Nov 3, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.74
    7.66s
    5A5C1D1M1NS
  33. Oct 28, 2023
    Carry Optics
    1.64
    17.67s
    9A4C2D3M
  34. Oct 28, 2023
    Limited Optics
    3.80
    17.64s
    13A4C1M
  35. Oct 8, 2023
    Carry Optics
    5.27
    5.69s
    6A0C
  36. Oct 7, 2023
    Carry Optics
    4.84
    5.78s
    5A1C
  37. Oct 7, 2023
    Carry Optics
    5.51
    6.53s
    6A2C
  38. Oct 1, 2023
    Carry Optics
    5.48
    8.03s
    4A8C
  39. Sep 16, 2023
    Carry Optics
    4.62
    6.06s
    5A1C
  40. Sep 10, 2023
    Carry Optics
    3.84
    4.69s
    5A1C1M
  41. Aug 19, 2023
    Carry Optics
    3.39
    4.42s
    3A3C1D1M
  42. Aug 13, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.07
    32.87s
    13A7C2D2M
  43. Aug 5, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.57
    17.15s
    4A8C
  44. Jul 30, 2023
    Carry Optics
    6.84
    4.68s
    4A4C
  45. Jul 22, 2023
    Carry Optics
    31.00
    0.00s
    3A11C3D2P
  46. Jul 16, 2023
    Carry Optics
    0.00
    0.00s
    2A0C4NS
  47. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics
    0.00
    7.36s
    3A2C1M2P
  48. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.07
    14.96s
    6A3C2D1M
  49. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics
    4.57
    10.94s
    7A5C
  50. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.91
    9.28s
    3A4C
  51. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics
    10.70
    9.35s
    20A0C
  52. Jul 15, 2023
    Carry Optics
    5.04
    8.14s
    9A2C1M
  53. Jul 1, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.91
    24.04s
    14A6C2D2M
  54. Jun 24, 2023
    Carry Optics
    2.39
    23.04s
    10A5C1M
  55. Jun 18, 2023
    Carry Optics
    0.00
    30.92s
    7A3C1D13M
  56. Jun 18, 2023
    Carry Optics
    0.00
    30.92s
    7A3C1D13M
  57. Jun 17, 2023
    Carry Optics
    4.14
    24.13s
    15A8C1D